CALLING ALL FOOTBALL FANS: I need help with picks!

P

penguinsfan

0
Hey,

My office is doing this thing where people put $5 into a pot and you choose the picks for this weeks NFL matchups. No point spread lines or anything like that---just straight-up winners. The tie-breaker is to choose the total number of points on the Monday night game. Anyway, I played last week and only faired so-so, compared to the field of coworkers. 22 people played, some the one guy won $110.

Now, I can't say that if I win I'm going to share it with you guys all across the world of cyberspace giving $5 here and $5 there, but I know some of you guys really love this stuff and if you could help offer me advice in choosing my picks, that'd be awesome. Please try to be unbiased. Here are this weeks match-ups:

BALTIMORE @ DETROIT

CHICAGO @ CLEVELAND

MIAMI @ BUFFALO

NEW ENGLAND @ ATLANTA

NEW ORLEANS @ GREEN BAY

SEATTLE @ ST. LOUIS

TAMPA BAY @ NY JETS

TENNESSEE @ HOUSTON

INDIANAPOLIS @ SAN FRANCISCO

CAROLINA @ ARIZONA

PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS

WASHINGTON @ DENVER

CINCINNATI @ JACKSONVILLE

PITTSBURGH @ SAN DIEGO

Thank you for any words of wisdom you might offer. Hey, if you got the time, please give me your reasoning for your picks, particularly potential upsets.


Much Appreciated,

penguinsfan
 
Heres my personal opinions, based on team performances/lineups...

I'll just put the winners:

Detroit
Chicago
Buffalo
New England
Green Bay
Seattle
Tampa Bay
Tennessee
Indianapolis
Carolina
Philadelphia
Denver
Cincinnati
San Diego

I dunno if that helps but those would be my picks. See what other guys say and compare :)
 
Detroit wins over Baltimore- Ravens D isn't where it needs to be to win games right now. The offense is possibly worse than it has ever been and despite the D holding its own...that Ravens offense equals more possessions/opportunities for the Detroit offense to get things going. Detroit at home wins. K. Jones gets in the endzone and gets things untracked.

Chicago wins over Cleveland- This is a tough pick, but with both defenses aside I'll go with Chicago pulling it out on the road. I don't see Browns' Edwards being that much of a factor in this game and that's what either of these teams will need to win-that one big play.

Buffalo wins at home. Miami might be in for one of those years where they just are a different team at home. Ronnie Brown will have some big games this year, but this is not the week.

New England chases Vick around all day and can't catch him. Last week's loss to San Diego wasn't necessarily anything major to note except that the Pats' lost. However, I like the Falcons D to hold the Pats off enough to win a close one.

New Orleans wins over Green Bay. This is the game where Favre and fans alike realize IT really is the end of an era in Green Bay. Favre does his thing and gets plenty of yards, but the D can't hold off the Saints offense.

Seattle destroys St. Louis. It'll be surprising to see if St. Louis stops the running game. It's not likely to happen and that D against the Giants looked pretty sketchy. The Giants are going to put up points this year from what I've seen, however Eli Manning isn't Peyton Manning and the Rams made you look twice at who was the QB throwing that ball around to make sure it was Eli back there.

Tampa Bay wins at N.Y. Jets. I just like the Bucs this year. Cadillac Williams is doing big things and everything seems to be going perfectly at the moment.

Tennessee wins at Houston. Houston might lose 12 games this year with the way the offense has looked. Granted the team has faced some tough defenses this year early on it can't be very confident.

Indianapolis wins big at San Francisco. The Colts get about 500 total yards on offense lol.

Carolina wins at Arizona. This might be a tough game for the Panthers, but I think they can hold off Arizona who'll be clawing for dear life.

Philadelphia wins big at Dallas. I know I have about 5 or 6 road teams winning this week, but hey that's how I see it. I would think McNabb has about 350 total yards and 2 TDs passing maybe even 1 rushing. The Cowboys realize next year they need to nab a safety that can excell in coverage in the draft. I will say that it will be late in this game that the Cowboys give up a huge play to either Westbrook or Owens. They'll get pressure early on from the front seven, but not the whole game. It'll be something like 14-10 at the half and 34-17 final.

Denver wins against the 'Skins. I hate the fucking Redskins so take it for what it's worth lol. I still think that offense has a long ass way to go, but that D is just so damn consistent and finds a way to stop drives from happening.

Cincinnatti dare I say keeps this thing going? Why not? They look absolutely dangerous on offense and even though it wasn't clicking against Houston the D came through as it will most of the year. They haven't played anyone to me though in my mind anyway. The Bears have a really nice defense, but honestly it's still a rookie QB and no running game really(T.Jones isn't that good) that they faced. The Browns game was a road game, but it's THE BROWNS. The Browns are worse than most franchises ever! in any sport. They are the definition of mediocrity. The NFL has never seen a franchise quite like the Browns. The Vike's...they will be up and down this year and finish 8-8 because they have no identity and they might not until they have a full year together on the defensive side of the ball and it will not all of sudden just click for Daunte on offense either. Talk to me after the playoffs begin when the Vikes get in because everyone else in that division sucks ass and tell me that the team is capable of doing more things than the previous 3 years. Anyway.

Pittsburgh wins a close one at San Diego, but this is the one I'm not sure on. I'm also not sure on the Houston v. Tennessee game, but hey these are my opinions. I gave you what I have.
 
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yeah...I wish I could have that kind of optimism, but honestly... over the years I've become a realist with my teams. It's going to take a lot of slipups on the Eagles part and a lot of capitalizing on Dallas' part. Dallas won't make enough plays to win the game and the rookies will cost them a bit again.
 
THE COMMENTS BELOW ARE WHAT MY FRIEND FROM COLLEGE E-MAILED ME EARLIER. HE'S BEEN ADVISING ME TOO, AS HE'S INTO FANTASY FOOTBALL AND ALL THAT SHIT. JUST THOUGHT I'D SHARE TO STIMULATE DISCUSSION.



I still like Baltimore's D to destroy Harrington. Joey just plain sucks!

Cleveland is better than people think... Chicago is worse than people think... Go Browns

I think Miami is a good pick here. Buffalo has been mean to the Phins in the past, but that was when they had offense

New England (I refuse to believe Atlanta is that good!)

NO and GB is a tough call. Both can be really good and both can be really bad. I'm going to give favre the benefit of the doubt this week. It looks like their O is improving after all

STL and SEA are two of the most talented teams every year and every year they both make predictors look bad. I just think Martz and Holmgren are two of the worst coaches in the league. Since STL are never out of a game with that potent O and they took 3 games from SEA last year, I'd go with them... STL in a shootout

TB goes 5 - 0

Tenn and Hou is a tricky game. Tenn looked bad and Hou gave the mighty Bengals (did I really just say that?) a scare. I'm going out on a limb and guessing Hou will get their 1st win

Only an ass would pick SF over Indy

I still think Carolina is the best team in the NFC if only they could play 2 good weeks in a row. This time they do... Carolina over Zona

This is my upset of the week. The Cowboys are much improved and almost beat them in Philly last year. Cowboys win

Denver proves to the world that Wash really does suck

This I think is another upset in the making. The Jags are better than they've played and the Bengals just cant help but lose soon, can they? I'm going with Jax
 
I FORGOT HIS ADDITIONAL COMMENT:

I accidentally sent it without the last pick.... i think pitt gets back on track.... Pitt over SD
 
penguinsfan said:
THE COMMENTS BELOW ARE WHAT MY FRIEND FROM COLLEGE E-MAILED ME EARLIER. HE'S BEEN ADVISING ME TOO, AS HE'S INTO FANTASY FOOTBALL AND ALL THAT SHIT. JUST THOUGHT I'D SHARE TO STIMULATE DISCUSSION.



I still like Baltimore's D to destroy Harrington. Joey just plain sucks!

Cleveland is better than people think... Chicago is worse than people think... Go Browns

I think Miami is a good pick here. Buffalo has been mean to the Phins in the past, but that was when they had offense

New England (I refuse to believe Atlanta is that good!)

NO and GB is a tough call. Both can be really good and both can be really bad. I'm going to give favre the benefit of the doubt this week. It looks like their O is improving after all

STL and SEA are two of the most talented teams every year and every year they both make predictors look bad. I just think Martz and Holmgren are two of the worst coaches in the league. Since STL are never out of a game with that potent O and they took 3 games from SEA last year, I'd go with them... STL in a shootout

TB goes 5 - 0

Tenn and Hou is a tricky game. Tenn looked bad and Hou gave the mighty Bengals (did I really just say that?) a scare. I'm going out on a limb and guessing Hou will get their 1st win

Only an ass would pick SF over Indy

I still think Carolina is the best team in the NFC if only they could play 2 good weeks in a row. This time they do... Carolina over Zona

This is my upset of the week. The Cowboys are much improved and almost beat them in Philly last year. Cowboys win

Denver proves to the world that Wash really does suck

This I think is another upset in the making. The Jags are better than they've played and the Bengals just cant help but lose soon, can they? I'm going with Jax
Click to expand...

I agree with everything but The last game. I think The Bengals will pull another one off!
 
As do I, but it'll be the D that wins it for them. If the Bears D and team isn't as good as as some people think then the offense of the Bengals might not be either then. Seeing as how the Bengals have declined in PPG the last two games and minus that one game where they put up 30 something they would be about at 22 a game. That should be enough to beat Jacksonville, but it could be a close game. It's by far the hardest game they'll have played. And the reason I take that Vikes game out is because that was the 2nd game of the season and the Vikes turned the ball over quite a bit in their first 2 games and the new defensive players out there had some added pressure that was unfairly placed on them.

And I wish I could say Dallas has a good chance at winning, but again...that one game last year was cold...a dog fight...T.O. got hurt in that game...and the Cowboys couldn't score...mainly because the running game couldn't get on track. They haven't ran the ball well all year and Julius Jones as much he will be this franchise's savior on offense this will be the most difficult defense he'll face this year period. The Redskins are probably just as difficult though to run against so maybe not, but the Cowboys have won like once in like what seems like since an eternity against the Eagles. If the Cowboys win this game I'll piss my pants.
 
crazyed27 said:
I agree with everything but The last game. I think The Bengals will pull another one off!
Click to expand...

Could very well be. That game, and Philly, standout as a couple of possible upsets.

This thing is a real bitch, with so many people in the running. Fortunately, we got some soccer moms in the office that never watch football and the extent of their research is consulting the other soccer moms. But then we have a number of guys, and a couple gals, that know what they're doing. One wrong pick could cost you the pot. But one winning week more than pays for the season. :)
 
against_odds21 said:
Really sad to see Favre go out like this btw. I think they they could win this weekend though.
Click to expand...

They're the kind of team that makes weekly picks like this tough. Green Bay is not a Super Bowl team by the wildest stretch of the imagination, but they somehow still seem to be a playoff threat. They're probably going to go roughly 10-6 and which 10 and what 6 seems like it could be anyone's guess. Part of the game, I suppose.
 
[P]okey[B]ear said:
dallas is gonna win
Click to expand...

Yeah, Philly is my second favorite team and I don't like Dallas, but that all doesn't mean shit when making picks. On paper Philly wins, but upsets happen. Hell, if it were just a matter of the favorites winning all the time, the whole office would be tied. I think I'll be picking Dallas.
 
I hope so lol.

My prediction is Philly 34-17, but if Dallas does win it'll be a close one like you said. If Julius Jones rushes for a 100 yards then the Cowboys will win. It's time for him to step it up.
 
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